Thursday 16 April 2015

Government’s best efforts may not halt further terrorist attacks


Kenyans reaction to the the Garissa attack was a little unusual. Beyond the pain, the anger and the disbelief, there was a sense of open defiance and also resignation.

Perhaps Kenyans had finally woken up to the reality that terrorism has always plagued this nation right from Jomo Kenyatta’s presidency to the present day regime. Of course, there are variances between the attacks of 40 years ago and the current offensives including: the frequency, masterminds of the attacks and grounds for the attacks.  Until half a decade ago, the country was a target for its perceived close loyalty to the West and Israel. Back in 1980, at least 20 people were killed in a bombing the ripped through Norfolk Hotel. The attack was largely blamed on Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) which later denied responsibility.

The alleged motive for attacks has now changed. Our perceived loyalty to the West has cleared thawed in the last decade. So the enemy has adopted a new spin to massacre innocent people-the presence of Kenya’s troops in Somalia. You will recall Al Shabaab was attacking Kenya even before the country sent boots on the ground.

The government’s best efforts may not necessarily shield us from further terrorist attacks. Many have argued that weak government structures which fuel corruption and lead to inadequate intelligence gathering and poor surveillance are some of the reasons Kenya is often a target. While some of these weaknesses could be contributing factors that are affecting the country’s resolve to fight terror, the threat we face cannot be oversimplified. Al Shabaab is no longer a rag tag militia group creating havoc in South Central Somalia and occasional hit and runs attacks on Kenya. The group has now evolved into a homegrown insurgency that is deeply embedded in communities within us (and beyond) and is well funded. Kenya’s geography and demography has also created a perfect breeding ground for the group.

If we are brave enough to look at the situation from a broader context-devoid of emotions and blame games- we will recognize that insurgent groups (as witnessed in other parts of the world) are always protracted and never lack in tenacity. Nigeria is still reeling from the murderous Boko Haram insurgency, England suffered over three decades of bombings under the IRA, Russia is still battling with terrorism decades later, India has had its fair share of bombings just to name a few stable and well respected countries. Not to forget the worst terrorist attack in modern history where over 3,000 people lost their lives in United States (arguably one of the most surveilled states in the world) just over a decade ago. As long as we have terror groups, as long as young people continue to be radicalized, Kenya and the free world will always be a threat.

 This is not to absolve the government of Uhuruto from blame and responsibility. The populace expects absolute security and nothing less-rightly so.  Once you are sworn in as the head of State, hard questions will be asked, expectations will be high or even unrealistic. It’s just the way the cookie crumbles.